Darby

[Jah...]

I'm thinking you guys might get some waves from this storm...Too early to tell but keep an eye on it, forecasted winds of 85 knots with gusts over 95 knots. Looks like it might be on a decent path toward the islands.....

[Jahsurfs!]

nice vantage point to put it in perspective....

[LGREANZ]

Very nice, Very nice. thanks for the heads up JAh.

She just needs to stay strong and spinning, and slowly venture our way.

I've only got good surf from a hurricand twice out here, and both times I surfed in the Sandys area with super light winds.
It was like an entirely new surf zone form Moks to Sandys.
It would be cool if she heads to the north and lit up the north shore.

keep your fingers crossed and pray for surf.

[HMARK]

Those were some mighty fine days is right! Just about perfect for the window before the storm and a bit after if I remember right.

Clean and glassy as shit. Mucho waves and light crowds in the AM

I hope we get the surf, and not the storm...

[Jahsurfs]

wow, I would have thought the islands got more hurricane swells. i guess a lot of them fizzle out before creating any large fetch, we don't get them often either, has to be a NW or N direction and at the right Long/lat etc....

Hope you guys score some waves. i'm looking at a tropical wave behind Darby and hoping it forms, we need waves bad!! it's been a LONG summer so far. Keep the Stoke!!

[LGREANZ]

WOOO HOOO this biotch is intensifying with hurricane force winds from about 2000 miles away and then will begin to fizzle as she makes it into cooler waters.
2000 miles is plenty of distance for the swells to organize and head our way.
Keep yer fingers crossed.

[megaprober]

hurrcanes are one of the most difficult to predict when it comes to swell genreation. i guessing at this point the storm is predicted to head straight at us so it is likely to give us some waves in a few days. the storm behind looks to organize and become powerful and take projected track similar to darby.

[LGREANZ]

double whammy

[Jahsurfs...]

Very cool MegaP, i was actually just coming on to get your forecast.

It has been looking better and better all day, i'm guessing it's pushing 80-85 knots with gusts to 100+. I'm a praying for you guys, someone might as well have waves cause I know we don't!!

As for the one behind it megaP, that's hopefully going to be our baby girl Estelle...Please let her give us some waves before taking a track right behind Darby, we need Estelle to grow into a nice cat 4 hurricane for a few days!

Anyway, here's the lastes satellite on Darby, looking healthy!!

[jah again...]

megap, i'm thinking theres already been a solid 24 hour fetch at 65+ knots fo you guys...you have any facts? i'm just guestimating.

[LGREANZ]

WHAT A PICTURE

[LGREANZ]

here's one I got from NWS , batten down the hatches folks.
I really hope this thing swings towards the north of us, surf could get real good on the north eastern shores.

[Jahsurfs]

Lgreanz, I wouldn't mind it doing a U-turn right about now. it would give you some swell and avoid the weather, as well throw us some swell too!

looking strong still.....

CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 128.0W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE 60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 200SE 150SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

[surfer9joe]

So when should we get waves from this?

[megaprober]

been trying to fugure this one out. my guess thus so far is that the surf production will be minimal to moderate. the main swath of the swell seems aimed a bit south of the big island. the storm is modelled to start fizzling due to it going over colder water, however because it is moving over its own fetch of rough seas there may be some hope and waves may be larger than expected. the problem is finding them.. the wave models show me arrival times, but hurricanes generate shorter period swells than most other winter-time assocated storms so it can be hard to distiguish hurricane swell form large windwell. my best guess is arrival time on the big island 130hrs +/-6 size 4-6ft???